Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.124901 0.138911 0.153241 0.168956 0.185668 0.202871 0.221883
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.109324 0.128995 0.149840 0.173444 0.199306 0.226659 0.257657
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.094917 0.118258 0.143794 0.173530 0.206939 0.243066 0.284837
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.086270 0.112800 0.142642 0.178222 0.219031 0.263951 0.316713
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.077215 0.105902 0.139054 0.179473 0.226727 0.279584 0.342545
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.068636 0.098738 0.134463 0.178958 0.231913 0.292029 0.364549
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.062033 0.093373 0.131500 0.179918 0.238468 0.305798 0.387912
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.055419 0.087410 0.127322 0.178993 0.242448 0.316327 0.407363
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.051596 0.084726 0.126952 0.182498 0.251578 0.332808 0.433726
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046942 0.080537 0.124348 0.182954 0.256794 0.344505 0.454381
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042567 0.076370 0.121479 0.182823 0.261092 0.354967 0.473486
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038202 0.071858 0.117860 0.181477 0.263675 0.363210 0.489841
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035143 0.069092 0.116529 0.183128 0.270146 0.376404 0.512491
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033191 0.067827 0.117150 0.187288 0.279788 0.393525 0.539986
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030031 0.064434 0.114595 0.187041 0.283661 0.403445 0.558690
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028624 0.063701 0.115742 0.191758 0.293954 0.421393 0.587311
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026337 0.061339 0.114393 0.192947 0.299569 0.433449 0.608683
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023773 0.058282 0.111844 0.192333 0.302707 0.442319 0.626085
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021827 0.056116 0.110494 0.193295 0.307869 0.453722 0.646641
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019589 0.053210 0.107858 0.192300 0.310312 0.461594 0.662754
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018571 0.052459 0.108492 0.195953 0.319011 0.477506 0.689003
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016956 0.050418 0.106985 0.196421 0.323327 0.487740 0.708098
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015352 0.048231 0.105126 0.196279 0.326743 0.496773 0.725667